{"id":343,"date":"2006-08-08T21:30:45","date_gmt":"2006-08-09T05:30:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/netmesh.info\/jernst\/uncategorized\/i-cant-believe-metcalfes-law-is-wrong-is-still-news"},"modified":"2006-08-08T21:30:45","modified_gmt":"2006-08-09T05:30:45","slug":"i-cant-believe-metcalfes-law-is-wrong-is-still-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/upon2020.com\/blog\/2006\/08\/i-cant-believe-metcalfes-law-is-wrong-is-still-news\/","title":{"rendered":"I Can&#8217;t Believe &#8220;Metcalfe&#8217;s Law is Wrong&#8221; is Still News"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>IEEE Spectrum has an <a href=\"http:\/\/www.spectrum.ieee.org\/jul06\/4109\" target=\"_blank\">article<\/a> titled &quot;Metcalfe&#8217;s Law is Wrong&quot; that was published in the July 2006 issue arguing that the basic math behind &quot;<a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Metcalfe%27s_law\" target=\"_blank\">Metcalfe&#8217;s law<\/a>&quot; is wrong.<\/p>\n<p>Of course it is, how could it not if you think about it? The infuriating thing is that this still seems to be news!<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/jernst\/Big_Picture\/metcalfes-law-too-optimistic.html\" target=\"_blank\">I blogged about that very thing<\/a> more than a year ago, when this made news last time around, saying:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Of course it&#8217;s overstated! If I have a fax machine and somebody in central China, who I have never heard of and will never interact with, buys another fax machine, the value of the network will not grow proportionally to N (say, hundreds of millions: the number of fax machines in existence today) but by some much smaller number such as a couple of hundred at the maximum (the number of fax machines that person will ever send a fax to or receive a fax from)&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>I recall giving an internal presentation mentioning that very issue in 2000 at my previous company&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>IEEE Spectrum has an article titled &quot;Metcalfe&#8217;s Law is Wrong&quot; that was published in the July 2006 issue arguing that the basic math behind &quot;Metcalfe&#8217;s law&quot; is wrong. Of course it is, how could it not if you think about it? The infuriating thing is that this still seems to be news! I blogged about&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"webmentions_disabled":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[58],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-343","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-big_picture","kind-"],"kind":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/upon2020.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/343","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/upon2020.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/upon2020.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/upon2020.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/upon2020.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=343"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/upon2020.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/343\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/upon2020.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=343"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/upon2020.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=343"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/upon2020.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=343"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}